Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001016 0.001152 0.001295 0.001456 0.001632 0.001820 0.002032
2024-12-15 0.000760 0.000942 0.001147 0.001393 0.001679 0.001998 0.002380
2024-12-22 0.000632 0.000833 0.001069 0.001363 0.001718 0.002128 0.002634
2024-12-29 0.000545 0.000758 0.001019 0.001357 0.001777 0.002276 0.002907
2025-01-05 0.000479 0.000701 0.000982 0.001356 0.001835 0.002417 0.003169
2025-01-12 0.000419 0.000643 0.000937 0.001340 0.001868 0.002525 0.003390
2025-01-19 0.000366 0.000589 0.000890 0.001316 0.001886 0.002609 0.003580
2025-01-26 0.000338 0.000566 0.000884 0.001343 0.001969 0.002777 0.003877
2025-02-02 0.000312 0.000544 0.000875 0.001364 0.002044 0.002935 0.004163
2025-02-09 0.000277 0.000504 0.000838 0.001342 0.002058 0.003011 0.004343
2025-02-16 0.000245 0.000466 0.000800 0.001316 0.002064 0.003074 0.004505
2025-02-23 0.000227 0.000448 0.000791 0.001331 0.002126 0.003213 0.004771
2025-03-02 0.000210 0.000431 0.000783 0.001347 0.002191 0.003361 0.005054
2025-03-09 0.000184 0.000396 0.000743 0.001314 0.002183 0.003406 0.005197
2025-03-16 0.000161 0.000362 0.000703 0.001278 0.002168 0.003438 0.005322
2025-03-23 0.000146 0.000343 0.000686 0.001274 0.002200 0.003539 0.005543
2025-03-30 0.000133 0.000326 0.000670 0.001273 0.002235 0.003642 0.005770
2025-04-06 0.000119 0.000305 0.000647 0.001258 0.002248 0.003714 0.005951
2025-04-13 0.000105 0.000283 0.000620 0.001234 0.002246 0.003762 0.006099
2025-04-20 0.000100 0.000278 0.000622 0.001260 0.002323 0.003927 0.006419
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000271 0.000622 0.001280 0.002390 0.004081 0.006725
2025-05-04 0.000084 0.000254 0.000598 0.001260 0.002391 0.004133 0.006881
2025-05-11 0.000074 0.000236 0.000574 0.001235 0.002384 0.004172 0.007018